Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 is based on . The average wind speed was 8.1 mph which is slightly below the average was 8.2 mph. What is the chance of rain in Arizona in January? Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Winter 2021-2022 One month remains in climatological Winter and so far it has been warmer (55.7 or +2.3) and slightly drier (1.62" or -0.18") than normal. If you hear rain or anything is coming to the area. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. This is in sharp contrast to the previous water year which was rather wet with the airport recording 14.23". As always, stay tuned toArizona Weather Forcefor official forecasts and updates on weather across Arizona and if it says like page below, hit the button and get future updates. There were nine daily lows that were 80 or warmer. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? Crawford's expectation for a stronger polar vortex this coming winter implies colder air will overall be bottled up in more northern latitudes. Weather Forecast Legend WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM. The monthly average temperature of 71.8 is just under four degrees above normal and ranks as the 4th warmest April on record. August 29, 2022 NOAA's 2022-2023 Winter Forecast The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration ( NOAA) makes long-range forecasts each month. CLICK HERE TO LEARN MORE AND SIGN-UP Since we never quite know what to expect, this upcoming season couldn't possibly catch us off-guard right? But there's a potential curveball with La Nia this winter. But there is a new ocean anomaly emerging that will also play its part. Updated 7:08PM Weather Associated Press 2022 was 5th warmest year on record 2022 has officially been declared the fifth warmest year on record. HOT TOPIC: 2021-2022 Seasonal Weather Forecast Released For Southwestern United States; Detailed Maps and Discussion Within, November 29, 2021 Dating back to 1910, every year has had a least one daily rainfall record be broken. You'll receive your first newsletter soon! This is because the jet stream, or storm track, stays to the north of our area, essentially making for wetter-than-normal conditions across the Pacific Northwest, but drier than normal conditions for the Desert Southwest. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.48" is 1.20" BELOWnormal and ranks as the 17th driest January/February period on record. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely across the metro area from 0.50" to 3" with localized totals up to 3.75". Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly below a third of an inch /0.33"/. According to its forecast map, Arizonas fall theme will be cool with decent precipitation.. hit 113.9 degrees F, 45.5 degrees C. Amazing. Here in the Valley, showers will be off and on throughout overnight. Editor's note: The above video aired during a previous year's forecast. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 35% chance that they will end up above normal and a 32% chance that they will end up below normal. Spring ended on a streak of 63 consecutive days with no rain being recorded at the International airport. January climate data across southeast Arizona. February climate data and outlook across southeast Arizona. By Paul Rusnak | September 11, 2022. Climate Predictions 6-10 Days 8-14 Day Climate Probability Official 30-Day Forecast The above maps are from the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite winter towns in Arizona to get some ideas. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 43% chance that they will end up above normal and a 24% chance that they will end up below normal. Coming off one of the WETTEST years on record in 2021 where the airport recorded 15.19", the outlook called for enhanced probabilities for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for the remainder of the year. Meanwhile, the southern U.S. is expected to have a warmer than usual winter. Overall, the almanac says it will be wetter than normal, the precipitation beginning in October and extending right through November. Monthly Weather - Phoenix, AZ As of 7:03 am MST Feb View Apr Sun mon tue wed thu fri sat 26 57 37 27 63 42 28 63 48 1 62 37 2 55 41 3 60 39 4 67 44 Fri 03 | Day 60 2% SW 5 mph. Last year, the Almanac predicted many of the 2021-2022 winter storms, most notably: the early-season nor'easter in the end of October, and the unusual blizzard in the last week of April (in parts of Montana, Wyoming, and the Dakotas). Whether the polar vortex stays strong or weakens at some point in winter can definitely impact the forecast. However there were isolated spots that recorded up to a three-quarters of an inch /0.75"/. March 2023; April 2023; May 2023; June 2023; July 2023; August 2023 . NWS This is a quite a difference from a year ago when the airport recorded 13.84" of rain through the end of October. IsArizonaa good place to visit in the winter? The last March to record above normal rainfall was in 2004 when 1.12" was recorded. The forecast panned out well for precipitation as it was drier than normal while February came in cooler than normal thanks to the average monthly low temperature being 4.7 below normal. Global emissions have grown in most years since 1900 and have accelerated over time, according to data from IEA. In long range forecast, Los Angeles is used as a base. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.90" is just over 2" below normal and ranks as the 7th driest January through June period on record. Questions? Some of the storms produced heavy rain, especially on the 4th, 5th, 6th & 8th. The arrows point to the cooler than average water in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, indicative of La Nia. A generally colder than usual winter is expected in the northern tier of states. An very odd quirk happened this November when you compare the daily highs this year versus last year. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 4.80" is just under two & a third inches below normal and ranks as the 19th driest January through August period on record. According to the Farmers' Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year - though drier than average, too. Arctic 2022 Summer - Coldest on Record. Man shoots, kills victim outside of a Phoenix . Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, has varied widely across the metro area. If you're planning to visit Arizona in the near . Above-normal precipitation is forecast in part of the Ohio Valley, an area that could pick up above-normal snowfall if temperatures remain low enough. The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.03" which ranks as the 8th driest water year to date with four months left in the water year calendar. Rainfall totals across the metro area ranged from 4" to 10" with localized higher amounts up to 15". Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area which is always the case during the summer thunderstorm season. Click on the images below for larger view. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, varied widely across the metro area as is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season. Please try another search. The state's smoky skies were caused by a wildfire in Arizona, but the National Weather service said Monday's smoke and heat will be gone Tuesday. Thus expect the consecutive year streak of above normal temperatures to be extended to 25 years. Winter temperatures are once again expected to be split between a warmer than average South and colder than average North, with colder risks in parts of the East. The first five months were rather dry with the airport only recording 0.67" or 2" below normal. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 100 on the 26th to a low of 39 on the 13th. NWS Climate Prediction Center College Park MD. Drought, wildfires, heat and monsoon storms: Arizona has seen its fair share of severe weather. (100 percent delivery time) According to the CPC, there is a tendency for back-to-back La Nia winters which increases forecaster confidence in the probability that this coming winter will indeed be another La Nia winter. Local News Sports Politics Opinion For Subscribers . The forecast for precipitation is a 24% chance that they will be above normal and a 43% chance that they will end up below normal. The 1981-2010 climate normal period was used from the late 2011 to early 2021. The Winter seasonal forecast for the area, issued November 18th, called for a 41% chance of above normal temperatures & a 48% chance of below normal precipitation. The combined two-day rainfall totals for New Year's Eve/Day across the metro area ranged from 0.50" to 1.50" with the bulk of the rain occurring on New Year's Eve. There were five days that recorded freezing low temperatures at the airport which is up from the three that occurred in the previous winter but down five from the 1991-2020 normal period. The Weather Companys primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. The best hidden gems and little known destinations - straight to your inbox. The high temperature of 82 on the 20th marked the first August since 2007 that recorded back-to-back days with highs in the 80's. Desert biome, Organ Pipe Cactus National Monument. You can go traditional with it and check out some truly delightful Christmas towns in Arizona, or you can rent a cabin in the woods and forget about life for a while as you watch snow gently fall. The average Fall temperature of 71.3 is 1.0 below the 1991-2020 normal. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded only 0.81" which is around a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 53rd driest September on record, tied with 1949. Amounts ranged from 3" to 8" with localized higher amounts up to 12". In winter 2020-21, the polar vortex weakened, and even though La Nia was in place, a major cold outbreak contributed to the 19th-coldest February on record in the Lower 48. Well, until it's August. One record temperature was set during the month. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. Odds are tilted toward a colder than average winter from the Northern Plains and Great Lakes to northern New England. Weather; Archive; Weather Widget F. This is the third February in the last four years that the average monthly temperature was below normal. The forecast panned out well with Spring 2022 coming in warmer and drier than normal. In other words, it will be cold in the area. Dry with above normal high temperatures from the 5th to the 11th with highs in the mid-60's to the lower 70's. February 08, 2021 : Atmospheric conditions and temperature F: RealFeel F: Atmospheric PHOENIX (3TV/CBS 5) Look for one last, mostly sunny day before an unsettled weather pattern arrives for the next few days in Arizona.Light winds and high clouds can be expected this morning . For the first time since 2010, September recorded more triple digit high temperatures (8) than August did (7). While anything is possible, it appears a season full of mellow days and drier air is ahead, so get your sweaters. The story is much different in the Catalina and Rincon mountains where between 4" and 10" of precipitation has been recorded so far this water year. Saturday marks the peak of the warming trend and temperatures will slowly decline throughout the next week. How do you feel about the upcoming milder, drier (especially drier than this last monsoon season, hoo boy) winter we might have? No matter how you like your winter, youre sure to find it in Arizona. The airport two-day total of 0.74" ranks as the 3rd wettest New Year's Eve/Day on record. Some of our favorite, Youve Gotta See These 8 Spectacular Neighborhood Christmas Light Displays In Arizona, Even The Grinch Would Marvel At The Tlaquepaque Christmas Light Display In Arizona, With Over 35,000 Lights, Cox Family Lights Is One Of The Best Neighborhood Christmas Light Displays In Arizona, 4 Drive-Thru Christmas Lights Displays In Arizona The Whole Family Can Enjoy, 9 Easy Hikes You Can Enjoy In Arizona This Winter, Take An Enchanting Winter Walk Through Dozens Of Glowing Sculptures At The Desert Botanical Garden In Arizona, The 45-Minute Sleigh Ride At Snowy Mountain Stables In Arizona Takes You Through A Winter Wonderland, Tackle A Snow Tubing Hill At Sunrise Park Resort In Arizona This Year, Miyuki Miller / EyeEm Collection / Getty Images, Warren Faidley / The Image Bank Collection / Getty Images, Andrei Stoica / EyeEm Collection / Getty Images, Cathy Grieve / EyeEm Collection / Getty Images, Md Esharuzzaman Emu / iStock / Getty Images Plus Collection / Getty Images, James Randklev / Corbis Documentary Collection / Getty Images. In my long range forecast for the season, I predicted 7-14 of rainfall with a likelihood of 10-14.
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